Sunday, March 23, 2014

Opinion: Whence and Wherefore the Tiger as a Symbol of Tamil Resistance

by Gogol G.

It has been four and a half years since the utter destruction of the LTTE. And by saying that, we should still remember the destruction of the LTTE is very much intertwined with the genocide of the Tamil people, as it is the punctuated form of a 65+ year history. But the presence of the Tigers has not left. We saw TNA rely on LTTE imagery and terminology during their campaign for the 2013 Northern PC elections 3 months ago to cajole a politically astute, unimpressed Tamil electorate. We have also very recently seen reports that Gotabaya Rajapakse was in contact with form LTTE commander Pathuman to artificially revive an artificial reincarnation of the LTTE that would be compliant to the GoSL. And GoSL leadership and representatives have taken to unequivocally attributing any criticism of Southern Lanka to "remnants of the LTTE" and those paid off by them, a clear absurdity. As evidence of Southern Lanka's war crimes and genocide (and unwillingness to investigate either) mounts, the GoSL rebuttal intensifies, and so does the decoy invocation of the LTTE in that rebuttal. What is it about the LTTE that even their enemies try to keep the memory of the LTTE alive?

These are strange times, where Southern Lanka tries to over-credit a nonexistent foe that it had annihilated in order to hang on for survival. This is strange on top of what is already strange, where Mahinda Rajapakse has styled himself as a modern incarnation of the Mahavamsa's Sinhalese king Dutugemunu, who bloodily defeated the righteous and formidable Tamil king Ellalan, and erected a great monument to Ellalan out of respect to his honour. The Mahavamsa chronicle is as much mythological with gory violence against Tamils (in the name of Buddha) as it is historical. The Mahavamsa has so much staying power in Southern Lanka because during the recent birth of Southern Lankan nationalism, namely Singhala Buddhist nationalism, which happened only 100-150 years ago, the Mahavamsa was appropriated and championed as the reference point for such a nationalism. It's as if France had decided that they were the descendants of the glorious, triumphant Asterix and Obelix, whose fables of defending the "country" against the ancestors of those subhuman, untouchable Italians were told in the recently discovered [comic] book[s]. You would have to also suspend logic on where French language and culture as we know it came from! And in Southern Lanka's case, there was no invasion. The notion of "country" in the Westphalian sense is a relatively very recent thing, and by extension, so is post-colonial hegemonic demagoguery by majority national formations. But at least Asterix and Obelix have a clearer, non-ironic sense of right and wrong, there's no gore or death, and even though they may not conform to standard definitions of beauty, they have great personalities.

(On the subject of the Mahavamsa Mindset, D. Sivaram explains why nations need states, and why states need homogenous nationalisms, to the detriment of those who do not belong. He also explains why in states where more than one national formation exists, the project of a homogenising nationalism naturally provokes a reactionary nationalism. These ideas better explain how the introduction of the nation-state system to arbitrarily defined geographical boundaries, ex: former colonies, would be the confounding factor in a way that Western-centred discourse on the subject might stand to gain from.)

Perhaps the only times that are stranger than these days are the times from 1987-1990, from the Indo-Lanka Accord to the defeat and withdrawal of the Indian IPKF forces. This period started off with the Indo-Lanka Accord, which was a collusion by India and Lanka to contain, weaken, and ultimately defeat the LTTE, since the LTTE was growing well beyond the complete control of the other two. LTTE leader Prabakaran was brought to India to meet Rajiv Gandhi and effectively coerced to sign the accord, whether he liked it or not. This gave cover for India to achieve its own tactical goal, which is sending the IPKF army to Tamil Eelam to defeat the LTTE, whether the Southern Lanka liked it or not. Yet, strangely enough, the communist JVP experienced a resurgence, perhaps enabled through tapping into the historical Sinhalese anti-Indian sentiment and fear-mongering over India's entry into SL. (And just prior to then, the anti-Indian sentiments had been most recently whipped by the SL government when it orchestrated the anti-Tamil pogroms of Black July in 1983.) Since the Singala government cares more about the South and the Singalese, whenever push comes to shove, it diverted all of its military resources during the JVP rebellion to annihilating the rebellion in the South. In order to simultaneously resist India's strong-arm maneuvers of physically setting itself up in the island (namely, Tamil Eelam), the Singala government fully supplied the LTTE with arms and weapons to fight the IPKF! This is old and very public news. Just like the news that Mahinda Rajapakse spent time in his political beginnings as a human rights crusader and supporting the 1989 JVP insurrectionists at the UN in Geneva as a human rights lawyer.

Watching the lull in geopolitical competition ending


The story of the strange IPKF times is worth re-telling because it is so analogous to what is happening in 2009-now. But first we have to fill in a gap. Remember, the US has always coveted a foothold in the island of Lanka. J.R. Jeyawardene, Ranil's uncle, was pro-Western. Ever since India's independence from colonial Britain and the onset of the Cold War, India was a founding member of the Non-Aligned Movmement (NAM) and an exemplary member. The NAM was created to represent the coalition of post-colonial "Southern Hemisphere" states that officially wanted to remain neutral in the Cold War. But unofficially, India has historically had a soft corner for the USSR ("Second World"?) and China ideologically. If India wanted to be represented in the UN Security Council, it would ask the Soviets to act on its behalf. In India, like certain other places in the world, you can tell which leaders the society looks up to based on whose names were copied when naming kids. If, for example, you might find a kid in Africa named Clinton or Nixon, you might find people in India named Lenin or Stalin. So when India feared that the US influence in Southern Lanka was becoming too much of a concern, India's plan, during Indira Gandhi's time (after the 1983 pogrom but before the Indo-Lanka Accord), was to destablise the island through the funding and training of the LTTE and the creation of other Tamil paramilitaries. (Which is why Indira Gandhi didn't want Britain's SAS to train GoSL.) The purpose of creating other Tamil paramilitaries was to attempt to prevent Tamil resistance from getting so strong that India could not control it (ex: pre-empt potential growth of the LTTE by "saturating" the capacity of Tamil society to recruit - see: Sivaram's explanation of Military Participation Ratio (MPR) and Money where the (Sinhala) mouth is). Conveniently for the US, Indira Gandhi was assassinated after only 3 years in power, but when her son Rajiv Gandhi democratically inherited the power of PM, he resumed his mother's policies with more vigour and with less subtlety and pretense. What is diplomacy without pretense? (And why do significant, thought-changing leaders in India always die after 3 years? C. N. Annadurai, after being elected in 1964 as the Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu on a platform of anti-Hindi as the national language and a separate country for Tamil Nadu, died in 1967. And M. G. Ramachandran also was a dynamic figure elected as CM of Tamil Nadu in 1984, only to die so soon in 1987, exactly 3 years to the date he was elected.) The US maintained a low-level presence in the island's affairs, but not so much as to provoke India. (The US-led West put an indefinite hold on Tamil Eelam recognition by banning the LTTE in 1997 and 2006 under the terrorist label, while supplying GOSL with military hardware and strategy.) The understanding was that SL was India's turf, and anything that happened had to go through India. It wasn't until the Norwegian-led peace process, and India's refusal to recognise the LTTE as an equal partner, that India therefore had no choice but to allow the US to have an overt, large presence in the island's affairs. But the US has always been involved. The US needs a replacement for the naval base in Diego Garcia (read: the capital of Tamil Eelam, Trincomalee) to lie in the strategic middle of the Indian Ocean, and it needs to do the job of countering China's aggression in the region that India is quite unwilling to do, even though India is very clearly being undermined by China more by the day.

Throughout all these intrigues, the LTTE remained the symbol of Tamil resistance to occupation. This is why India tried many times to assassinate LTTE leader Prabakaran unsuccessfully (especially in the 1980s), unlike what they did for any of the many other Tamil militias. The LTTE grew from strength to strength throughout the entire war, and this would not be possible without the support of the civilian population it was fighting for (see: Sivaram's explanation of Military Participation Ratio (MPR) and Money where the (Sinhala) mouth is). The current leadership of the TNA found this out to their chagrin when they campaigned for the September 2013 NPC elections, trying to maintain their conciliatory, neither-here-nor-there strategy, before realising that the Tamil electorate did not care for nor trust them much. In order to gain the trust of the Tamil people as representing their interests, the TNA decided to clearly employ the terminology of and veiled references to the LTTE. The TNA's party publication right before the elections sported a full-body picture of Prabakaran in camouflage fatigues with the caption "Maveeran Prabakaran". The Tamil electorate response, during relatively free and safe voting conditions, was to vote en masse for Tamil political rights (which was more a vote for Tamil resistance than it was a vote for the current TNA leadership -- the obviousness of which is bolstered by rumours that Jaffna newspapers unofficially ignored Tamil nationalist campaigning before the NPC elections, or that Tamil nationalist candidates ranked higher in the NPC vote count list than Southern Lanka would like to believe).

While many comparisons are made of the current situation to the 1987-1990 IPKF / JVP uprising period for the reasons of turmoil caused by direct US-India jockeying in the island, the situation isn't exactly the same. In 1987, India supplanted US influence in the island with its own, while now, the US is trying to supplant India. India is much weaker of a country than it was 25 years ago, even in its own backyard, while China is much stronger, even in India's own backyard. So even if the Non-aligned Movement (NAM) enters the discussion, which made sense in a post-WWII/post-colonial, Cold War context, and in which India was a big fish in a small pond, such a discussion nowadays is only a passing fad.

Evolution of tiger as a symbol of Tamil resistance


First, Tamils have a martial history of many millennia. And even in times as recent as the British, they were tough to conquer by the British. And remember that the Kandy king was the hardest to defeat, which is why the British defeated him last, and this king was a Tamil. The Kandy king signed his surrender papers to the British in Tamil, not Sinhalese. During the last Sangam period of Tamil literature, 2000 years ago, there were 3 main Tamil kingdoms — the Chera, the Chola, and the Pandiya. The literature of the time had talked about the antiquity of the Pandiyas, as the Pandiyas were said to have been around for much longer than we have recorded history. (Although, the exact dates of the Pandiya antiquity are more legendary than factual, as any reader of the Mahavamsa would well understand.) The Chera kings were said to have once traveled north through present-day India conquering kings all the way until he reached the Himalayan mountains. It wasn't until well after the Sangam period, in 1100-1300 AD, that the Cholas made their own unique mark in history by growing their military and economic influence into an empire that controlled all the land surrounding the eastern portion of the Indian Ocean -- South India, Ceylon, Malaysia, and parts of Thailand and Indonesia. Each of the 3 kingdoms had a symbol for themselves which they would put on their flags: Chera - bow and arrow, Pandiya - fish, Chola - tiger.

So when we think of the LTTE's use of tiger symbol, there's a statement being made, and other statements are being passed over. Namely, the LTTE chose to harken back to Tamil influence crossing all over the Indian Ocean, for which we still see its legacy today. Tamil Eelam, with its capital being the top-notch natural harbour Trincomalee, and affixed right on a major artery of world shipping, would be such a country that would call on those historically-created linkages in every direction on the sea. The images being passed up in this symbolism are a resurgent dominance in South Asia (Chera - bow and arrow) or an antiquity lasting from time immemorial (Pandiya - fish).

But of course, there's another obvious reason, which is that the tiger is a fierce creature in nature, and one that inspires the imaginations of the people it represents and their foes. After all, England's symbol is a lion, America's is a bald eagle, Germany is an eagle, Russia is a bear, India is a lion, and Southern Lanka is a lion. But believe it or not, Southern Lanka's symbolic lion on their national flag is quite a violent one, even when compared to England's or India's. The Lanka lion has a drawn sword in its front paw, blade outwards. In the original version of the flag in 1948, it was surrounded by 4 arrowheads, but later on, those arrowheads were changed to Bo leaves to represent Buddhism, and 2 colored stripes (to represent Hindus and Muslims) were added to the flag on the side right next to the sword blade. In the same way that the British flag is an amalgamation of the English, Scottish, Welsh, and Jersey flags, the LTTE flag is amalgamation of the Chola flag and Pandara Vanniyan's flag, and updated for modern times. Pandara Vanniyan was famed for his military might and the resistance he put up to the British. It was Tamils like him that stymied the British the most, for which the British had to collude with Tamil turncoats to eventually defeat him. His flag was 2 diagonally crossed swords with a shield on top in the middle. The LTTE flag updated the swords to bayonets, and the shield was changed to a circle. Inside the circle was a yellow-on-red tiger, like the Chola flag, but it was updated to face the viewer instead of be drawn in profile. The tiger was drawn in detail with its mouth open to look fearsome, and its paws were drawn over the bottom of the circle to evoke the image that it was pouncing towards the viewer. The decision process perhaps involved more than one person, but certainly not any person or firm steeped in marketing. (Where would guerrilla fighters find the time and money for hiring consultants for brand design?)

The special ingredient that makes the tiger symbol endure, however, is the spirit of the people who invoked it. That is to say, the LTTE to the very end held unwaveringly to their goal of a free and independent Tamil Eelam for the Tamil-speaking peoples who have historically lived there. In the final analysis, their dedication and ethics stand out well above all interested armed parties (that is, other governments) who involved themselves in Sri Lanka, including the West. In the endgame, the LTTE chose to die on their feet than live on their knees, as has always been their operating principle, despite the challenges. In fact, the more that India and the US tried to manipulated and/or assassinate LTTE leader Pirabakaran, the clearer it has become how steadfast the LTTE has been in maintaining Tamil interests. Pirabakaran had once said that fighting the IPKF with so few soldiers at such an early stage was the most difficult challenge he had faced, and perhaps that is why, in November 2008 when the end game was nigh, he said, "We have had direct confrontations even against superior powers, stronger than us. ... Standing alone, we have blasted networks of innumerable intrigues, interwoven with betrayal and sabotage. ... When compared to these happenings of the past, today's challenges are neither novel nor huge. We will face these challenges with the united strength of our people." And it has also been made clear how many others (including foreign governments and non-governmental organisations and the UN itself) who profess to champion justice and Tamil rights are never truly credible or can never be taken at face value. As Frances Harrison has reported, and as has been admitted by Erik Solheim publicly, America was willing to save all the Tamil civilians and the entire membership of the civil, political, and military structures of LTTE through the ICRC so long as Pirabakaran and Pottu Amman surrendered back in 2009. What this implies is that the US had the capacity to save so many tens of thousands of Tamil clivilian lives in the face of clear, ongoing genocide but chose not to for pure political arm-twisting that ended in a lose-lose situation. Human rights alone cannot save human lives from genocide, it seems.

...And lions, and eagles, and dragons -- so what?


As the ongoing March 2014 UN Human Rights Council session progresses, the maneuvering in the HRC appears weak and uninspired. The US brought forth a draft resolution on Sri Lanka that is not much different from the resolutions on both of the 2 previous years. Even the strengthening of the 2nd draft, that inserts language of an "independent, international investigation" is also not any improvement whatsoever compared to the previous 2 years. The reason is that independent investigations by panels formed by UN bodies have already been undertaken, from the Darusman et al. report to the recent report from the UN High Commission for HR Navi Pillay. The only type of investigation that would move beyond recent, ineffectual efforts would be to specifically have a Commission of Inquiry (CoI), something that is commissioned by the full resources of a UN body with a full team of people and resources and a requirement to report to the entire UN body. And this is why Tamil diaspora organisations all around the world condemned the weakness of the first draft of the US-led first draft of the resolution on SL. Surprisingly, though, the TNA immediately welecomed the second draft, even though it calls for nothing that we haven't already seen since 2009! If the US and/or India would like to woo the TNA to sycophantically play along with their designs -- whether continuing dozens of rounds of fruitless negotiations with GOSL or immediately welcoming weak UN HR resolution drafts -- they should realise that Tamils of Tamil Eelam realise this too. Eelam Tamils today know what deacdes of Tamils have sacrificed for the sake of Tamil-speaking freedom. Those sentiments can now be focused in a single symbol, and thus the spectre of the Tiger looms large and casts its shadow over the whole island, 5 years after its disappearance.

All of America's designs to gain a foothold in the island, especially in Tamil Eelam, for the past decode, at the expense of Tamils, have failed miserably. In a time where they should be forging more strategic alliances with Eelam Tamils and India as a bulwark against creeping Chinese instability, there are no signs that America is moving beyond options that are futile. It is almost 5 years since the end of the war in 2009 and the end of the Tigers, and the lessons we should have learned then still ring true, as written back then by Anita Pratap. She first wrote of how the West's strategy against the Tigers was disastrous and self-defeating. She described the unwavering commitment of the Tigers to Tamil Eelam, and their resolve to never give up in spite of any losses or setbacks, as their history shows. In her next piece, entitled "Lion, Tiger, and Lies", she wrote how the memories of the Tigers, and by extension all that they symbolise, will be left to last forever in the minds of the people. And finally, she wrote about the important stakes at play for the world in the current era of geopolitics that we find ourselves in now.

So will America allow the current resolution on SL to call for nothing more than what we already have and know? Will the US allow the resolution to not receive a majority for any reason? Either option will be a defeat of the same order -- GoSL will have won once again, akin to their victory in the UN HRC in 2009. More importantly, the West has to act quickly and decisively, for neither they nor their natural allies can afford to wait anymore. And to understand what Tamils think, don't ask the TNA leadership -- filled with its share of elite class, droning lawyers, some with checkered pasts and dubious character. Judge it by the people on the ground, most of whom are constantly thinking of freedom and wondering, from time to time, "What would the Tigers do?"


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Review: Lessons from the Tiger Defeat

Lessons from the Tiger Defeat
By Anita Pratap
June 4, 2009
The Week

Prabhakaran is the first iconic victim of a tectonic shift in world affairs

There are lessons to be learnt from the rout of the LTTE. These lessons span the entire spectrum—from cosmic justice, international geopolitics and national agendas to character flaws.
The first and foremost lesson is that Sri Lanka’s victory symbolises the crystallisation of a New World Order. This is a paradigm shift. We have moved from a unipolar world of American dominance to a bipolar world where China has emerged as the rival pole, independent, non-judgmental and unconcerned about the universal values that the US and Europe stood for—democracy, freedom and human rights.

China’s world order is underlined by its non-ideological, pragmatic, no-holds-barred support to a strategic or economic ally’s regime stability. Unlike the bipolar world of the Cold War when the US and the USSR were the two poles, the 21st century bipolar world is different in that it also represents what Fareed Zakaria calls the ‘Rise of the Rest’. The superpowers in each region—Russia, India, South Africa and Brazil—will have a dominant role to play in their spheres. But this is not a multi-polar world, which implies several equal powers. This is, what I would call, a “New World Pecking Order”. Not quite Peking, but Pecking. China is predominant among the Rising Rest, not surpassing, but already almost an effective counter to the US and Europe.

Prabhakaran is the first iconic victim of this tectonic shift in world affairs. China’s economic power is well established. Its political emergence on the world stage has been demonstrated by the LTTE’s catastrophic defeat. Simply put, Sri Lanka succeeded in destroying the LTTE at great civilian cost thanks to China’s whole-hearted military and financial aid. The fulcrum of China’s backing to Sri Lanka lies in its construction of a port in Hambantota. Experts say what is a commercial venture could become a strategic Chinese naval base in the Indian Ocean. China has virtually encircled South Asia by establishing ports in Pakistan’s Gwadar and Myanmar’s Kyauk Phyu. Some feel threatened while others argue that China is merely securing its energy and raw material supply routes to maintain its growth momentum.

Sri Lanka was able to vanquish the Tigers also due to India’s tacit support, which included providing training and logistical support such as naval surveillance to cut off Tigers’ weapons supply. There were two motives: India wanted to be rid of the LTTE and, second, India could not sit back and surrender Sri Lanka into China’s embrace. The only way to exert leverage with the government was to help its war effort and influence its outcome. Against the combined military might of Sri Lanka, India and China, the LTTE was hopelessly outclassed.

Tamils seethe against the impotence of the international community. But this is an oxymoron. It is neither international nor is it a monolithic community. It refers basically to the west and the UN. Sri Lanka could defy Barack Obama, Europe and the UN because of China’s backing and India’s stance. Vidar Helgesen, a former Norwegian deputy foreign minister, wrote in a brilliant policy paper on the Sri Lankan war: “Access was denied, insistence on respect for humanitarian law was ignored, calls for a political process rejected and western political and diplomatic representatives lambasted in the process. We have seen similar tendencies elsewhere—Sudan, Zimbabwe, Burma—but possibly nowhere as systematic and blatant as in Sri Lanka.” The common backer in these other rogue nations is China. They have been able to get away scot-free because China, as a member of the P5, has blocked all western attempts to punish these nations for their cruelty towards their own citizens.

But the trouble is, the west is neither credible nor seen as an honest broker. George W. Bush ensured that. Undemocratic tactics, human rights violations and civilian casualties have marked western interventions in Africa, Latin America and Asia, but most vividly in recent invasions in Iraq and Afghanistan. So it is highly hypocritical for the west to lecture Sri Lanka. China couldn’t care less for liberal values. It interferes without moral posturing.

But this China-inspired New World Pecking Order can have grave repercussions: brutal dictatorships in strategically located countries or nations blessed with natural resources that China covets can terrorise their citizens—especially minorities and dissenters—with impunity. This can lead to much evil. Life and liberty of innocents cannot be bartered by ruling elites for economic gain or political stability. There is thus a dire need for international efforts to coax China into the fold of universal values.

The national priority for Sri Lanka now is to rehabilitate the Tamils and build a just, inclusive society. This is a historic opportunity for President Rajapaksa to not only show pragmatism, but Solomon-like wisdom. If he does so, Sri Lanka can finally hope to achieve its rightful destiny as an island of beauty, stability and prosperity.

For India, the challenge is to bring Sri Lanka firmly back into its own orbit, thus limiting China’s and Pakistan’s influence in the island. Reluctant to provoke China at any cost, India has been taciturn (some would say pussyfooted) about China’s incursions into Myanmar, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. But time has come for a more robust—not muscular—foreign policy. India is a regional superpower. Unlike Russia or China, India believes in universal values. This makes India a much more stable and comforting ally to the US and Europe than Russia or China can ever hope to be.

There are also cosmic and personal lessons to be learnt. Prabhakaran died on May 17, as the Congress was celebrating its Lok Sabha election victory that is credited to Sonia and Rahul Gandhi. This is divine retribution for Prabhakaran, who killed Rajiv Gandhi. Rajiv had his critics, but he was a decent man who simply didn’t deserve his brutal death. The timing of events proves the triumph of democratically and non-violently vanquishing one’s enemies—in stark contrast to Prabhakaran’s vengeful tactics.

And finally, the lesson to be learnt at the personal level is that inflexibility is a fatal flaw. Compromise is not opportunism, but the art of survival. Prabhakaran had four reasonable chances for a peaceful settlement—in 1987 with India, in 1990 with R. Premadasa, in 1994 with Chandrika Kumaratunga and in 2003 with Ranil Wickramasinghe through the Norway-brokered peace process.

But Prabhakaran was uncompromising about Eelam. In the final analysis, he not only failed in his mission, but brought untold suffering to the Tamils, whose rights he sought to champion. A whole generation of Sri Lankans—both Tamils and Sinhalese—paid a high price. History will probably neither forget nor forgive Prabhakaran.

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Review: Lion, Tiger, and Lies

Lion, Tiger, and Lies
by Anita Pratap
May 25, 2009
The Week

Too many loose ends in Lankan army's version of Prabhakaran's death

Precisely because he is many things to many people, LTTE leader V. Prabhakaran’s death has been greeted with joy by the Sinhalese, grief by his Tamil supporters, and relief by many who hope his death will bring peace to beleaguered Sri Lanka.

But is he really dead? Speculation is rife only because journalists are not allowed in, and independent verification is impossible. I was sceptical of the first report, which said he was killed while fleeing the war zone in an ambulance. No way. Prabhakaran would not do something so idiotic. Remember, the Sri Lankan army told us that Prabhakaran and his cadres were surrounded in a tiny patch of land, less than 1 sq.km. The area was so small and so well surrounded that anyone coming out on a bicycle would be spotted and stopped. So logically, what chance would an ambulance have of sprinting past unnoticed? If he had to flee from such a tiny war zone, he would have scurried out through an underground tunnel.

And then came the picture of Prabhakaran’s corpse. The first question: if he was killed in an ambulance, how come his body was discovered in a lagoon? The picture looked fake. Top of the head was blown off, but the face was clear and the eyes wide open. Prabhakaran’s most distinguishing feature are his eyes, which seemed artificially wide, as if someone was trying to prove it was indeed him by grabbing attention to his eyes. It reminded me of the front-page picture of the terrorist killed in a shootout in Ansal Plaza in New Delhi a few years ago. I had said then that I found it hard to believe that the terrorist had died that way with the gun in his hand. I have seen innumerable civilians, soldiers and guerrillas lying dead in battlefields. They don’t look like this. I instinctively felt the picture was stage-managed. Forensically, I did not see how it was possible that a guy involved in a massive shootout could die so perfectly posed. Subsequent investigations reinforced these doubts.

That is the same feeling I had when I saw the picture of Prabhakaran’s corpse. Far from setting my doubts to rest, the picture convinced me that something was fishy. The initial version was that soldiers had “shelled” the ambulance, which caught fire and was destroyed. If you pummel an ambulance with artillery shells or rocket propelled grenades, it will explode. So, if Prabhakaran were inside, his body would have been blown to bits. At the very least, charred. And when his dog tags and identity cards surfaced, the whole thing seemed even more of a set-up. Besides, Karuna’s and Daya Master’s identification of Prabhakaran’s body has as much credibility as a confession extracted in police custody.

I am not saying that I know for sure Prabhakaran is alive. What I am saying is that this version of his death does not ring true.

I have said before that Prabhakaran will never be captured alive. But there is one more thing I would add. If he knew there was no way out, he would not only have killed himself but have made sure his body was not found. There are two reasons for this. One, he is a keen student of military history and knows if his body were found, it would be desecrated by the victorious Sinhalese soldiers. All triumphant soldiers have done this through history. I can still vividly recall the dead Afghan leader Najibullah hanging from a Kabul lamp-post, cigarette stuffed in his nose, body bloated and beaten black and blue by the victorious Taliban. I have seen videos of dead female LTTE soldiers being stripped naked and paraded by gleeful Sinhalese soldiers.

Many detest him, but one must understand Prabhakaran’s psyche. He is an extraordinarily proud man, one who believes he is fighting to restore the honour and glory of the Tamils. There is simply no way he will allow himself to be desecrated and bring eternal shame and dishonour to his people. So not only will he swallow his cyanide, have his bodyguard shoot him to make his death doubly sure, but he will ensure that his body is blasted to bits, so that no corpse ever surfaces.

That brings me to the second reason why he would ensure his body was never found if he had to commit suicide to evade capture. Remember, one of his favourite heroes is Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose. Even today, there are people who believe that Bose is still alive. The mystery and the mystique remain. If Prabhakaran’s body is never found, no one can be sure whether he is really dead or alive and the conspiracy theories will spin forever—keeping him alive in people’s imagination. Purpose served, especially if he is dead.

I do not rule out Prabhakaran’s death. I don’t think he was killed, more likely he took his own life. If I were to pick a day that he decided to commit suicide with his top cadres, it would be May 16.

In my last article published a month ago in THE WEEK (Crouching Tiger, May 3) on what I expected Prabhakaran’s next move to be, I had written, “He will be watching the Indian elections closely to see which dispensation takes charge in New Delhi. He will be watching to see if there is a popular upsurge of support in Tamil Nadu for the plight of Tamils across the Palk Strait. …He will be watching President Barack Obama who rightly analysed that conflicts stem from our perception of the other.”

On May 13, referring to the “desperate, humanitarian crisis” in Sri Lanka, Obama urged the Tigers to “lay down their arms” and the government to stop the “indiscriminate shelling that has taken hundreds of innocent lives”. Tiger spokespersons said they were willing to accede to Obama’s request, but the Sri Lankan government refused to slacken or halt the final onslaught to wrest the last piece of land from Prabhakaran’s grip. On May 16, the Indian election results came out and contrary to media punditry, the Congress made a resounding comeback. That spelt doom for Prabhakaran: his implacable foes will remain in power for another five years. Instead of an upsurge in Tamil Nadu, staunch LTTE supporters like Vaiko were routed. Prabhakaran has been waging this battle alone for the last three years and he knows what it has cost him—his cadres, the Tamils civilians and the diaspora. It has been truly horrific. Surviving another five years of this isolation with a hostile Congress establishment at the helm in India and an impotent international community is very hard. Getting Eelam in the near future in such hostile international circumstances is impossible.

In the past, after he was routed, Prabhakaran started all over again from scratch. That is why I had said I could envision him continuing the war. But with Congress’s victory, Tamil Nadu’s political defeat and adamancy of the Sri Lankan state to disregard even the American president, I can see why he saw the futility of continuing his struggle, deciding then to fight unto death.

In his introduction to an absolute must-read 1964 book, The World of Yesterday by Austrian author Stefan Zweig, Harry Zohn talks about the three times that Zweig had to start his life all over, caught up as he was between the two world wars. Writes Zohn: “Too exhausted to start a fourth, Zweig took his life in Brazil soon after completing his autobiography, at a time when the prospects for the realisation of all that he had ever striven for looked particularly bleak.” Zweig and Prabhakaran are complete opposites. But this, I think, sums up Prabhakaran’s mood on May 16. What lends some credence to my theory is that several members of the Tamil diaspora said they began getting calls from their LTTE contacts in Vanni, tearfully bidding farewell. That most of the top rung of the LTTE’s military wing are dead, points to mass suicide.

Rumours began circulating in the blogosphere on May 16 that Prabhakaran and 300 of his top cadres had committed mass suicide and blown themselves up. In fact, Sri Lanka’s army website posted an item at 17:51 on May 17 from the battlefront: “Self-ignited LTTE explosions [were] heard and witnessed in close vicinity. Likelihood of Tigers committing suicide en masse or burning of LTTE assets on their own has not been ruled out.” Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa announced victory and end of war. On May 17 afternoon, the LTTE, issued a statement: “This battle has reached its bitter end. We remain with one last choice—to remove the last weak excuse of the enemy for killing our people. We have decided to silence our guns.” The statement blamed the silence of the international community, the impunity with which the Sri Lankan government ignored urgent appeals, used words like “desperate” and “saddened”, referred to “bitter end” twice. And added: “Against all odds, we have held back the advancing Sinhalese forces, without help or support…. Our only regrets are for the lives lost and that we could not hold out any longer.” It reads like a suicide note.

For an even more absurd reason, I am inclined to believe that he could have committed suicide on May 17. Prabhakaran was very superstitious and once confessed to me that the number 8 is very unlucky for him—even though he is born on November 26. So he never undertook major offensives on 8th, 17th and 26th of a month. I reported that. And the Sri Lankan army took it easy on those days. But Charles Anthony, his son, couldn’t care less about superstition. Many of the operations he commanded were on 26th, precisely to surprise the army. On April 26, 2006, an LTTE suicide bomber tried in vain to assassinate Sri Lankan army commander, Sarath Fonseka, who since then became Prabhakaran’s mortal enemy. From this superstitious perspective, it is perhaps not a coincidence that the likely date of Prabhakaran’s suicide is May 17. When Prabhakaran told me about his superstition regarding numbers, I read Cheiro. According to Cheiro, people born with the birth number 8 are destined for great successes and great failures! If he has indeed committed suicide, this prediction certainly rings true for him!

On May 18 at 3 a.m. Vanni time, the LTTE political chief B. Nadesan and its peace secretariat director Puleedevan telephoned their European contacts requesting them to ask the ICRC to evacuate about 1,000 of their wounded cadres and LTTE’s civil officials. But a few hours later, the Sri Lankan defence ministry claimed they had found the dead bodies of Nadesan, Puleedevan and Anthony. The LTTE accused the Sri Lankan government of “treachery”. Their version is that their international contacts told them that arrangements had been made with the Sri Lankan military to discuss “an orderly end to the war”. So as instructed, Nadesan and Puleedevan, unarmed and carrying white flags, contacted the 58 division of the Sri Lankan troops operating nearby. But they were shot and killed. If this is true, under international conventions, this would be a war crime. The number of dead bodies shown on Sri Lankan websites indicates that this war on terror ended with a bloody massacre.

Sri Lankan army released pictures of Anthony’s corpse on May 18. Up until then, they had been releasing old pictures of a bulky Anthony in battle fatigues looking at the camera sulkily. But now two photos were released—one in which he is alive and the other his corpse. The strange thing is in both pictures he is wearing the same blue shirt. The explanation then could be that he, with Nadesan and Puleedevan, had gone dressed in civilian clothes with white flags to the 58 division. Pictures were taken, where he looks clean-shaven, relaxed and neat. And then something went wrong and a massacre followed some time later (the dead Anthony’s face has stubble). All Tiger fighters wear combat fatigues, so if he was fighting, Anthony should have been wearing battle dress. But the army’s version is that Anthony and others arrived dressed in civilian clothes on what was a suicide mission. But then that doesn’t explain the picture of Anthony alive.

Intriguingly, it took another whole day before the government released the picture of Prabhakaran’s dead body. If Prabhakaran did indeed blow himself up along with his top cadres, then there can be no body to parade. In which case, the Sri Lankan government came up with a Prabhakaran “double”. How weird is that? But the answer could be simple—the army was under pressure to show a dead body as proof. No one will believe otherwise that Prabhakaran is dead. If the Sri Lankan military has evidence that Prabhakaran did indeed blast himself, then they can be certain he will not surface to dispute their claim. On May 20, Sri Lanka’s defence ministry website carried a bizarre announcement: “We are not going to comment on how he died.”

But the story gets more curious. The LTTE is silent about Anthony, but has issued a statement that Prabhakaran is alive and safe. But few believe the LTTE, so rumours are now rife that Prabhakaran will give a television interview to prove he is alive. That will be a bombshell if it happens, suggesting he had waged an elaborate war of deception, complete with his own “double”. Any move he makes will be picked up by the Sri Lankan intelligence. But that is if he is alive. A Sinhalese blogger said: “He is alive and well—in hell.

But all these conspiracy theories can be quelled. The international community can force Sri Lanka to share the DNA tests done on Prabhakaran and Anthony and verify if they match Prabhakaran’s sisters’ who live in Canada and Europe. If they match, all speculation can be put to rest. India and the four co-chairs—the United States, Europe, Japan and Norway—should insist on this.

Read more!

Review: Crouching Tiger

Crouching Tiger
by Anita Pratap
May 3, 2009
The Week

LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran is many things to many people-national leader, freedom fighter, revolutionary, guerrilla, killer, saviour, tyrant, visionary and terrorist. Lionised or demonised, depending on their standpoint. I cannot know what is going on in Prabhakaran’s head, but I am certain he is neither frightened nor desperate. He is not afraid of death. He has been courting it since he was 17. He is an indefatigable warrior, one who is philosophically detached from all things tactical. Yet, paradoxically, in achieving his strategic goal of Tamil Eelam, he displays an unwavering attachment.

I doubt whether these military setbacks will discourage, undermine or erode his confidence or commitment to his goal. He is very clear in his mind-he is fighting to liberate his people. For that principle he lives. For that principle he fights. And for that principle he is willing to die. Victories and defeats come and go. Territories are lost and won. Cadres die, comrades betray. But to his dying breath, he will remain true to Eelam.

In the 30 years that I have written about this conflict, never has the LTTE been so alone and friendless in its struggle. Prabhakaran is a victim of a combination of his actions and international circumstances. By assassinating Rajiv Gandhi, he made an implacable foe of India. And after 9/11, George Bush’s war on terror created zero tolerance for terrorism around the world. It also blurred distinctions between terrorist organisations and national liberation groups.

There is no liberation army in the world that has not faced state terror and in turn used terror as a tactic to pursue its nationalist goals. Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose and Bhagat Singh-Prabhakaran considers them heroes-were designated terrorists by the British rulers of India. Until recently, Nelson Mandela was on the list of terrorists.

The LTTE is banned as a terrorist organisation in some 30 countries. That has given the Sri Lankan government global sanction to destroy the LTTE. But in doing so, the international community has allowed a disaster of epic proportion to unfold. This is not an LTTE, but a Tamil tragedy. Nowhere in the world has a government been continuously bombing its own civilians for over a year. This is a crime Israeli, American and NATO forces are not guilty of.

A designated No Fire Zone has turned into a vast death chamber for Tamil civilians, trapped between the LTTE and the attacking army. Nowhere else in the world is a war being waged without outsiders and independent witnesses, not in Iraq, not in Afghanistan, not in Gaza. But in Sri Lanka, the media and NGOs have been banned from the war zone, and the International Committee of the Red Cross, among the lone relief workers there, has described the civilian situation as catastrophic. A quarter of a million Tamils uprooted. Tens of thousands imprisoned in refugee camps. Thousands killed and maimed.

Those who say the Tamils deserve this fate because they supported Prabhakaran are heartless and blind. There are many who support him and many who don’t. Either way, they don’t have the power to influence him. Is it then justifiable to punish ordinary civilians? Is it fair to kill Americans for the sin that Bush committed in Iraq, even though they not only elected, but re-elected him? The Sri Lankan army cannot be faulted for trying to destroy the LTTE. But the Sri Lankan government cannot condone or justify destroying Tamils and their homeland in the process.

But this only strengthens Prabhakaran. Politicians and bureaucrats don’t realise that the LTTE welcomes war. It swells its ranks, reaffirms its raison d’étre, it produces more emotional support for a separate state. From the previous wars that I have witnessed (journalists could manage to get in then), LTTE cadres love fighting. During peacetime, LTTE guerrillas are disciplined and restrained. In battle, there is a complete makeover. They are highly excitable, almost gleeful.

The LTTE has been written off many times before. Prabhakaran has been ‘killed’ or ‘nearly killed’ many times in the past. If the army ever reaches his bunker, he will swallow his cyanide and the legend of Prabhakaran will probably attain mythical proportions. Lacking independent assessments, journalists repeat Sri Lankan claims that this is the end game, this is Prabhakaran’s last stand.

Judging from the past, I doubt it. Sure, the Sri Lankan army will wrest the last piece of land from Prabhakaran’s grip. But that doesn’t mean the end of the LTTE. They will revert to what they are best at-guerrilla warfare, striking when least expected. As armies before have realised, conquering territory is one thing, holding onto it opens a Pandora’s box of problems.

Prabhakaran has lost wars before. He had created a de facto Tamil Eelam with its own army, police, courts and taxation system not once, but several times in the past-only to have it all smashed and wiped out. And he had to start all over again. At 54, Prabhakaran still has enough grit to start again and continue for another 20 years.

In the meantime, he will be watching the Indian elections closely to see which dispensation takes charge in New Delhi. He will be watching to see if there is a popular upsurge of support in Tamil Nadu for the plight of Tamils across the Palk Strait. He will be watching the disastrous impact of war on Sri Lanka’s economy. He will be watching Hillary Clinton who said there should be a ‘nuanced’ approach to dealing with terrorism. He will be watching President Barack Obama who rightly analysed that conflicts stem from our perception of ‘the other’.

Today, Prabhakaran’s situation looks dire. But the wheels of fortune are not static. Things change. America has changed. The world is changing. Capitalism is discredited. Socialism sneaks in from the backdoor. Big banks have gone bust. Misery replaces prosperity in headlines. As new winds blow away many certitudes of the recent past, new opportunities, alignments and paradigms take their place on the world stage. And they will inexorably weave their impact in remote corners of faraway Sri Lanka, this beautiful emerald teardrop island that awaits its tryst with peace.

Read more!

Saturday, March 22, 2014

Review: Lion, Tiger, and Lies

Lion, Tiger, and Lies
by Anita Pratap
May 25, 2009
The Week

Too many loose ends in Lankan army's version of Prabhakaran's death

Precisely because he is many things to many people, LTTE leader V. Prabhakaran’s death has been greeted with joy by the Sinhalese, grief by his Tamil supporters, and relief by many who hope his death will bring peace to beleaguered Sri Lanka.

But is he really dead? Speculation is rife only because journalists are not allowed in, and independent verification is impossible. I was sceptical of the first report, which said he was killed while fleeing the war zone in an ambulance. No way. Prabhakaran would not do something so idiotic. Remember, the Sri Lankan army told us that Prabhakaran and his cadres were surrounded in a tiny patch of land, less than 1 sq.km. The area was so small and so well surrounded that anyone coming out on a bicycle would be spotted and stopped. So logically, what chance would an ambulance have of sprinting past unnoticed? If he had to flee from such a tiny war zone, he would have scurried out through an underground tunnel.

And then came the picture of Prabhakaran’s corpse. The first question: if he was killed in an ambulance, how come his body was discovered in a lagoon? The picture looked fake. Top of the head was blown off, but the face was clear and the eyes wide open. Prabhakaran’s most distinguishing feature are his eyes, which seemed artificially wide, as if someone was trying to prove it was indeed him by grabbing attention to his eyes. It reminded me of the front-page picture of the terrorist killed in a shootout in Ansal Plaza in New Delhi a few years ago. I had said then that I found it hard to believe that the terrorist had died that way with the gun in his hand. I have seen innumerable civilians, soldiers and guerrillas lying dead in battlefields. They don’t look like this. I instinctively felt the picture was stage-managed. Forensically, I did not see how it was possible that a guy involved in a massive shootout could die so perfectly posed. Subsequent investigations reinforced these doubts.

That is the same feeling I had when I saw the picture of Prabhakaran’s corpse. Far from setting my doubts to rest, the picture convinced me that something was fishy. The initial version was that soldiers had “shelled” the ambulance, which caught fire and was destroyed. If you pummel an ambulance with artillery shells or rocket propelled grenades, it will explode. So, if Prabhakaran were inside, his body would have been blown to bits. At the very least, charred. And when his dog tags and identity cards surfaced, the whole thing seemed even more of a set-up. Besides, Karuna’s and Daya Master’s identification of Prabhakaran’s body has as much credibility as a confession extracted in police custody.

I am not saying that I know for sure Prabhakaran is alive. What I am saying is that this version of his death does not ring true.

I have said before that Prabhakaran will never be captured alive. But there is one more thing I would add. If he knew there was no way out, he would not only have killed himself but have made sure his body was not found. There are two reasons for this. One, he is a keen student of military history and knows if his body were found, it would be desecrated by the victorious Sinhalese soldiers. All triumphant soldiers have done this through history. I can still vividly recall the dead Afghan leader Najibullah hanging from a Kabul lamp-post, cigarette stuffed in his nose, body bloated and beaten black and blue by the victorious Taliban. I have seen videos of dead female LTTE soldiers being stripped naked and paraded by gleeful Sinhalese soldiers.

Many detest him, but one must understand Prabhakaran’s psyche. He is an extraordinarily proud man, one who believes he is fighting to restore the honour and glory of the Tamils. There is simply no way he will allow himself to be desecrated and bring eternal shame and dishonour to his people. So not only will he swallow his cyanide, have his bodyguard shoot him to make his death doubly sure, but he will ensure that his body is blasted to bits, so that no corpse ever surfaces.

That brings me to the second reason why he would ensure his body was never found if he had to commit suicide to evade capture. Remember, one of his favourite heroes is Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose. Even today, there are people who believe that Bose is still alive. The mystery and the mystique remain. If Prabhakaran’s body is never found, no one can be sure whether he is really dead or alive and the conspiracy theories will spin forever—keeping him alive in people’s imagination. Purpose served, especially if he is dead.

I do not rule out Prabhakaran’s death. I don’t think he was killed, more likely he took his own life. If I were to pick a day that he decided to commit suicide with his top cadres, it would be May 16.

In my last article published a month ago in THE WEEK (Crouching Tiger, May 3) on what I expected Prabhakaran’s next move to be, I had written, “He will be watching the Indian elections closely to see which dispensation takes charge in New Delhi. He will be watching to see if there is a popular upsurge of support in Tamil Nadu for the plight of Tamils across the Palk Strait. …He will be watching President Barack Obama who rightly analysed that conflicts stem from our perception of the other.”

On May 13, referring to the “desperate, humanitarian crisis” in Sri Lanka, Obama urged the Tigers to “lay down their arms” and the government to stop the “indiscriminate shelling that has taken hundreds of innocent lives”. Tiger spokespersons said they were willing to accede to Obama’s request, but the Sri Lankan government refused to slacken or halt the final onslaught to wrest the last piece of land from Prabhakaran’s grip. On May 16, the Indian election results came out and contrary to media punditry, the Congress made a resounding comeback. That spelt doom for Prabhakaran: his implacable foes will remain in power for another five years. Instead of an upsurge in Tamil Nadu, staunch LTTE supporters like Vaiko were routed. Prabhakaran has been waging this battle alone for the last three years and he knows what it has cost him—his cadres, the Tamils civilians and the diaspora. It has been truly horrific. Surviving another five years of this isolation with a hostile Congress establishment at the helm in India and an impotent international community is very hard. Getting Eelam in the near future in such hostile international circumstances is impossible.

In the past, after he was routed, Prabhakaran started all over again from scratch. That is why I had said I could envision him continuing the war. But with Congress’s victory, Tamil Nadu’s political defeat and adamancy of the Sri Lankan state to disregard even the American president, I can see why he saw the futility of continuing his struggle, deciding then to fight unto death.

In his introduction to an absolute must-read 1964 book, The World of Yesterday by Austrian author Stefan Zweig, Harry Zohn talks about the three times that Zweig had to start his life all over, caught up as he was between the two world wars. Writes Zohn: “Too exhausted to start a fourth, Zweig took his life in Brazil soon after completing his autobiography, at a time when the prospects for the realisation of all that he had ever striven for looked particularly bleak.” Zweig and Prabhakaran are complete opposites. But this, I think, sums up Prabhakaran’s mood on May 16. What lends some credence to my theory is that several members of the Tamil diaspora said they began getting calls from their LTTE contacts in Vanni, tearfully bidding farewell. That most of the top rung of the LTTE’s military wing are dead, points to mass suicide.

Rumours began circulating in the blogosphere on May 16 that Prabhakaran and 300 of his top cadres had committed mass suicide and blown themselves up. In fact, Sri Lanka’s army website posted an item at 17:51 on May 17 from the battlefront: “Self-ignited LTTE explosions [were] heard and witnessed in close vicinity. Likelihood of Tigers committing suicide en masse or burning of LTTE assets on their own has not been ruled out.” Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa announced victory and end of war. On May 17 afternoon, the LTTE, issued a statement: “This battle has reached its bitter end. We remain with one last choice—to remove the last weak excuse of the enemy for killing our people. We have decided to silence our guns.” The statement blamed the silence of the international community, the impunity with which the Sri Lankan government ignored urgent appeals, used words like “desperate” and “saddened”, referred to “bitter end” twice. And added: “Against all odds, we have held back the advancing Sinhalese forces, without help or support…. Our only regrets are for the lives lost and that we could not hold out any longer.” It reads like a suicide note.

For an even more absurd reason, I am inclined to believe that he could have committed suicide on May 17. Prabhakaran was very superstitious and once confessed to me that the number 8 is very unlucky for him—even though he is born on November 26. So he never undertook major offensives on 8th, 17th and 26th of a month. I reported that. And the Sri Lankan army took it easy on those days. But Charles Anthony, his son, couldn’t care less about superstition. Many of the operations he commanded were on 26th, precisely to surprise the army. On April 26, 2006, an LTTE suicide bomber tried in vain to assassinate Sri Lankan army commander, Sarath Fonseka, who since then became Prabhakaran’s mortal enemy. From this superstitious perspective, it is perhaps not a coincidence that the likely date of Prabhakaran’s suicide is May 17. When Prabhakaran told me about his superstition regarding numbers, I read Cheiro. According to Cheiro, people born with the birth number 8 are destined for great successes and great failures! If he has indeed committed suicide, this prediction certainly rings true for him!

On May 18 at 3 a.m. Vanni time, the LTTE political chief B. Nadesan and its peace secretariat director Puleedevan telephoned their European contacts requesting them to ask the ICRC to evacuate about 1,000 of their wounded cadres and LTTE’s civil officials. But a few hours later, the Sri Lankan defence ministry claimed they had found the dead bodies of Nadesan, Puleedevan and Anthony. The LTTE accused the Sri Lankan government of “treachery”. Their version is that their international contacts told them that arrangements had been made with the Sri Lankan military to discuss “an orderly end to the war”. So as instructed, Nadesan and Puleedevan, unarmed and carrying white flags, contacted the 58 division of the Sri Lankan troops operating nearby. But they were shot and killed. If this is true, under international conventions, this would be a war crime. The number of dead bodies shown on Sri Lankan websites indicates that this war on terror ended with a bloody massacre.

Sri Lankan army released pictures of Anthony’s corpse on May 18. Up until then, they had been releasing old pictures of a bulky Anthony in battle fatigues looking at the camera sulkily. But now two photos were released—one in which he is alive and the other his corpse. The strange thing is in both pictures he is wearing the same blue shirt. The explanation then could be that he, with Nadesan and Puleedevan, had gone dressed in civilian clothes with white flags to the 58 division. Pictures were taken, where he looks clean-shaven, relaxed and neat. And then something went wrong and a massacre followed some time later (the dead Anthony’s face has stubble). All Tiger fighters wear combat fatigues, so if he was fighting, Anthony should have been wearing battle dress. But the army’s version is that Anthony and others arrived dressed in civilian clothes on what was a suicide mission. But then that doesn’t explain the picture of Anthony alive.

Intriguingly, it took another whole day before the government released the picture of Prabhakaran’s dead body. If Prabhakaran did indeed blow himself up along with his top cadres, then there can be no body to parade. In which case, the Sri Lankan government came up with a Prabhakaran “double”. How weird is that? But the answer could be simple—the army was under pressure to show a dead body as proof. No one will believe otherwise that Prabhakaran is dead. If the Sri Lankan military has evidence that Prabhakaran did indeed blast himself, then they can be certain he will not surface to dispute their claim. On May 20, Sri Lanka’s defence ministry website carried a bizarre announcement: “We are not going to comment on how he died.”

But the story gets more curious. The LTTE is silent about Anthony, but has issued a statement that Prabhakaran is alive and safe. But few believe the LTTE, so rumours are now rife that Prabhakaran will give a television interview to prove he is alive. That will be a bombshell if it happens, suggesting he had waged an elaborate war of deception, complete with his own “double”. Any move he makes will be picked up by the Sri Lankan intelligence. But that is if he is alive. A Sinhalese blogger said: “He is alive and well—in hell.

But all these conspiracy theories can be quelled. The international community can force Sri Lanka to share the DNA tests done on Prabhakaran and Anthony and verify if they match Prabhakaran’s sisters’ who live in Canada and Europe. If they match, all speculation can be put to rest. India and the four co-chairs—the United States, Europe, Japan and Norway—should insist on this.

Read more!

Review: Crouching Tiger

Crouching Tiger
by Anita Pratap
May 3, 2009
The Week

LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran is many things to many people-national leader, freedom fighter, revolutionary, guerrilla, killer, saviour, tyrant, visionary and terrorist. Lionised or demonised, depending on their standpoint. I cannot know what is going on in Prabhakaran’s head, but I am certain he is neither frightened nor desperate. He is not afraid of death. He has been courting it since he was 17. He is an indefatigable warrior, one who is philosophically detached from all things tactical. Yet, paradoxically, in achieving his strategic goal of Tamil Eelam, he displays an unwavering attachment.

I doubt whether these military setbacks will discourage, undermine or erode his confidence or commitment to his goal. He is very clear in his mind-he is fighting to liberate his people. For that principle he lives. For that principle he fights. And for that principle he is willing to die. Victories and defeats come and go. Territories are lost and won. Cadres die, comrades betray. But to his dying breath, he will remain true to Eelam.

In the 30 years that I have written about this conflict, never has the LTTE been so alone and friendless in its struggle. Prabhakaran is a victim of a combination of his actions and international circumstances. By assassinating Rajiv Gandhi, he made an implacable foe of India. And after 9/11, George Bush’s war on terror created zero tolerance for terrorism around the world. It also blurred distinctions between terrorist organisations and national liberation groups.

There is no liberation army in the world that has not faced state terror and in turn used terror as a tactic to pursue its nationalist goals. Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose and Bhagat Singh-Prabhakaran considers them heroes-were designated terrorists by the British rulers of India. Until recently, Nelson Mandela was on the list of terrorists.

The LTTE is banned as a terrorist organisation in some 30 countries. That has given the Sri Lankan government global sanction to destroy the LTTE. But in doing so, the international community has allowed a disaster of epic proportion to unfold. This is not an LTTE, but a Tamil tragedy. Nowhere in the world has a government been continuously bombing its own civilians for over a year. This is a crime Israeli, American and NATO forces are not guilty of.

A designated No Fire Zone has turned into a vast death chamber for Tamil civilians, trapped between the LTTE and the attacking army. Nowhere else in the world is a war being waged without outsiders and independent witnesses, not in Iraq, not in Afghanistan, not in Gaza. But in Sri Lanka, the media and NGOs have been banned from the war zone, and the International Committee of the Red Cross, among the lone relief workers there, has described the civilian situation as catastrophic. A quarter of a million Tamils uprooted. Tens of thousands imprisoned in refugee camps. Thousands killed and maimed.

Those who say the Tamils deserve this fate because they supported Prabhakaran are heartless and blind. There are many who support him and many who don’t. Either way, they don’t have the power to influence him. Is it then justifiable to punish ordinary civilians? Is it fair to kill Americans for the sin that Bush committed in Iraq, even though they not only elected, but re-elected him? The Sri Lankan army cannot be faulted for trying to destroy the LTTE. But the Sri Lankan government cannot condone or justify destroying Tamils and their homeland in the process.

But this only strengthens Prabhakaran. Politicians and bureaucrats don’t realise that the LTTE welcomes war. It swells its ranks, reaffirms its raison d’étre, it produces more emotional support for a separate state. From the previous wars that I have witnessed (journalists could manage to get in then), LTTE cadres love fighting. During peacetime, LTTE guerrillas are disciplined and restrained. In battle, there is a complete makeover. They are highly excitable, almost gleeful.

The LTTE has been written off many times before. Prabhakaran has been ‘killed’ or ‘nearly killed’ many times in the past. If the army ever reaches his bunker, he will swallow his cyanide and the legend of Prabhakaran will probably attain mythical proportions. Lacking independent assessments, journalists repeat Sri Lankan claims that this is the end game, this is Prabhakaran’s last stand.

Judging from the past, I doubt it. Sure, the Sri Lankan army will wrest the last piece of land from Prabhakaran’s grip. But that doesn’t mean the end of the LTTE. They will revert to what they are best at-guerrilla warfare, striking when least expected. As armies before have realised, conquering territory is one thing, holding onto it opens a Pandora’s box of problems.

Prabhakaran has lost wars before. He had created a de facto Tamil Eelam with its own army, police, courts and taxation system not once, but several times in the past-only to have it all smashed and wiped out. And he had to start all over again. At 54, Prabhakaran still has enough grit to start again and continue for another 20 years.

In the meantime, he will be watching the Indian elections closely to see which dispensation takes charge in New Delhi. He will be watching to see if there is a popular upsurge of support in Tamil Nadu for the plight of Tamils across the Palk Strait. He will be watching the disastrous impact of war on Sri Lanka’s economy. He will be watching Hillary Clinton who said there should be a ‘nuanced’ approach to dealing with terrorism. He will be watching President Barack Obama who rightly analysed that conflicts stem from our perception of ‘the other’.

Today, Prabhakaran’s situation looks dire. But the wheels of fortune are not static. Things change. America has changed. The world is changing. Capitalism is discredited. Socialism sneaks in from the backdoor. Big banks have gone bust. Misery replaces prosperity in headlines. As new winds blow away many certitudes of the recent past, new opportunities, alignments and paradigms take their place on the world stage. And they will inexorably weave their impact in remote corners of faraway Sri Lanka, this beautiful emerald teardrop island that awaits its tryst with peace.

Read more!